Age Curves 2.0: A New Approach to Projecting Player Potential

‘Just how good is this 21 year old striker going to be in 5 years?’ ‘Has our 26 year old full back already peaked?’ ‘Should we be giving our 32 year old centre back a contract extension?’ Talk about a million dollar question – foresight in football is worth several times that given the...

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How should Tottenham replace Christian Eriksen?

There’s no secret about the existing holes in Tottenham Hotspur’s squad or the lack of transfers to address them in the last two years, though the signing of Tanguy Ndombele this week will go some way to assuage their midfield depth issues. However, should Christian Eriksen head off to...

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18 Jun, 2019

Who are the most “clutch” goalscorers in football?

18 Jun, 2019

Firstly, it’s important for those who don’t watch American sports to explain what the term “clutch” in the our article title means. The term is used regularly in US sports to describe a performance where the athlete is under pressure, usually in the last minutes of a game. An...

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04 Jan, 2017

On the lexicon of expected goals

04 Jan, 2017

Apart from an excuse for a pretentious title, I aim here to discuss some of the intricacies in the language used in football analytics. If you are new to the field, it might be worth reading One Short Corner’s fantastic primers.  There’s a brilliant video of Richard Keys and Andy...

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30 Nov, 2016

Playing with Pressure

30 Nov, 2016

  Recent debate about Jose Mourinho’s description of Manchester United as the “unluckiest” team in the league has brought out one of the oldest debates within football analytics – is the amount a team over or under performs its expected goals difference solely ‘luck’? It’s obvious why such a...

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04 Jan, 2016

Holistic Recruitment: Who Should Swansea City Sign?

04 Jan, 2016

Transfers are difficult. The ‘Tomkins Law’ suggests under half of them ‘succeed’ while, even if you opened up your definition of success, you’re still likely to identify widespread inefficiency. Being even slightly better at them than your opposition has the potential for huge gains in a competition like the Premier League, or...

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04 Jan, 2016

Mythbusting: MNF, Jamie Carragher and Mesut Özil

04 Jan, 2016

A couple of weeks ago, before Arsenal played Manchester City, I watched Monday Night Football. Generally, I enjoy Sky’s coverage; however on this occasion I couldn’t help but take issue with a couple of the things Jamie Carragher said about Mesut Özil and David Silva. If you have access...

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